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The At Retirement Reckoning 

Barnett Waddingham’s investigation 
into the UK’s retirement landscape

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Foreword

The British pensions industry is, once again, at a critical juncture. It seems every provider, regulator, and adviser is watching with bated breath as the time bomb of UK retirement saving ticks closer to detonation. And with every new day, the likely ripple effects of the impending disaster get bigger.

 

The past 14 years of Conservative rule saw the pension landscape shift notably. The introduction of auto-enrolment in 2012 successfully widened the UK’s saving base and helped tackle inertia around long-term saving – but with most workers relying mostly or solely on defined contribution (DC) schemes, people are approaching retirement with far less in their pots than they need. Pension freedoms, in April 2015, then took away all guardrails which protected members from making poor decisions at the point of retirement. Increases to the state pension age have impacted people’s expectations of when they’ll retire, but reliance on 2011’s triple lock remains a drain on Government coffers. Meanwhile, more people are private renters, the cost of living crisis has decimated savings, and people’s engagement with their longer-term finances remains woefully inadequate.

Executive summary 

Approaching retirement: 
the planning and advice gap 

In retirement: products, 
priorities, and understanding

The state of the nation

6%

54%

16%

41%

 Of people expect they won’t retire until they are 91 or older

 Of workers (54%) who plan to retire would like to retire between the ages of 61-70

Of people over 50 expect to be retired for 16-20 years

Of workers are not confident that they will be able to retire with a comfortable income

Who we surveyed

Methodology: Barnett Waddingham commissioned Censuswide to survey 5,032 UK employees and self-employed people aged 18+, 60% of which are over 50 and all of whom plan to retire in their lifetime. The survey was conducted in July 2024.

Our sample in detail

67%

Full time employed

25%

Part time employed

8%

Self-employed 

42%

Men

58%

Women

85%

White

2%

Mixed

7%

Asian

5%

Black

30%

Disabled

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The state

of the nation

How long will Britain live?

The first step to planning is knowing what you’re planning for – and Britain’s workers have mixed opinions on how long they’ll live, never mind how long they’ll be retired for. Life expectancy in the UK – at birth – is 79 years for men and 83 years for women1. When asked to predict their own life expectancy, both men and women predicted an average of 80; not far off, though of course people already working have cleared the hurdle of not dying in childhood, so their remaining years will be higher. 

People with more savings and investments think they’ll live longer than those without, and while the mean age estimate is 79.7 years old, the regional fluctuations are stark. While those in the south east expect to live till they’re almost 82, those in the north east don't expect to make it to 77. These are broadly in line with Office of National Statistics realities – 82 and 79 respectively. 
 

1www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/lifeexpectancies/bulletins/nationallifetablesunitedkingdom/2020to2022 

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Of Britain’s workers expect to live until they are 74-80 years old – while the same number are hopeful they will live to anywhere between 84-90 years old. Despite the ‘100-year life’ being a zeitgeist topic, just 5% of people think they’ll beat the century.

Like to retire

Expect to retire

Expect to die

100

75

expected  age

50

25

0

State 
pension age

18 - 24

25 - 34

35 - 44

45 - 54

55 - 64

65 - 74

75+

What will retirement look like?

We found 87% have clear aspirations for their retirement – meaning there’s a lot of people relying on getting later life saving right! Travelling (36%) are top of the list for people when asked what they’d like to do in retirement. This is closely followed by spending more time with family (32%), pursuing hobbies (31%) and spending more time with a partner (26%).

A fifth of those aged 18-34 would like to plan to move abroad in retirement (21%), and the figure is similar among those aged 45-54 who also want to. A not insignificant 6% are entrepreneurial and want to start a business in retirement. But the reality is most haven't set financial plans to achieve those aspirations. In fact, just 15% of people have set clear financial goals and a budget for their retirement – something that is relatively consistent across all age groups except for those aged 45-54 (12%) who are the least likely to have goals. 
 

17%

of those aged 55-64, so who are explicitly  approaching retirement, have a clear set of financial goals and a budget for retirement. This is hugely worrying. It is also notable that men (19%) are more likely to have goals and a budget compared to women (12%).

Paul Leandro

Partner at Barnett Waddingham

Paul Leandro comments:

It's noteworthy that those under 50 are more optimistic about how long they are going to have in retirement - around 22 yrs vs 16 yrs. But that's because younger cohorts expect to retire early rather than live long. It's likely that some of these improved expectations are being shaped by seeing parents and grandparents living more healthy, active, and mobile lifestyles. But this also shifts the challenge - they'll need significant savings to meet these aspirations.

People are being lulled into dreams of a long retirement filled with travel, pursuing hobbies, and even a life overseas. But the life on offer may be a mirage; the aspirational lifestyle so readily on display today is most likely funded by DB pensions – a luxury which won't be there for the retirees of tomorrow. And with their hopes of retiring early too, it means that the younger generations are going to have a shorter period in which to accumulate it.

This explains the paradox that people expect to be retired for longer but simply aren’t saving or financially planning for retirement. Expectations are simply out of sync with reality, especially for older DC savers. Without a notable shift in saving patterns, many will be in for a rude awakening. Aspirations with no plans are just pipe dreams. 

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The million 
dollar question

Spending in retirement

A question of confidence

While well over half (59%) of respondents said they are confident they will be able to retire with a comfortable income, the proportion that are not is worryingly high. Not only do two-fifths (41%) of people reveal they are not confident they’ll have a comfortable income at retirement, just over one in 10 (11%) say they are not confident at all.

A closer look at the variations across age groups reveals 18-24-year-olds to be the most bullish – with just under one in three (30%) lacking confidence they will retire with a comfortable income. And it’s those aged 45-54 where we see the biggest wobble – just under half of this group (48%) are not confident about such an outcome. Concerningly, people with only a DC pension are much less confident than those with only a DB one – 55% confident vs 68%.

Mark Futcher

Partner and Head of DC at Barnett Waddingham

Mark futcher comments:

A simple question of confidence paints a tale of two cities. The first, a huge cohort of British workers who are hurtling towards a retirement they don’t think will be comfortable, including half of those with retirement on the near horizon. The sad truth is many are correct; they haven’t got enough saved to live well as a pensioner. The second, a group of confident savers – but most of those are confident because of other wealth, property, or private and DB pensions. These options are simply not available to the vast majority of younger workers, which is bad news for DC savers and providers.

Sadly, there’s no silver bullet. But there are some changes that could make a real difference. Firstly, improve the auto-enrolment system, by widening who it includes and increasing minimum contributions. The aspiration should be to build a DC system that generates employees a comfortable retirement over the course of a career, without needing further wealth to survive. At the other end of the career journey, we can build confidence by helping people visualise their income and lifestyle after employment. This is going to require significant innovation and a much more robust at-retirement framework, specifically working to increase confidence in older workers that a comfortable retirement is possible for them.
 

Expectations of spending 

Most retirements can be split into three main phases of expenditure – go go, slow go, and no go. During the first phase of retirement, spending on lifestyle and luxury reflects the post-work newfound freedom. Holiday, transport, home decorating, and personal care all see increased spending as people embrace their increased free time and ‘go go go’.

Then, the reality of ageing begins to take its toll, and people slow down. They may still spend on leisure and lifestyle, but they’ll likely also need more time to rest and mind their health. The natural conclusion of that ‘slow go’ phase is a ‘no go’ one; when health complications hit and people need care, to largely stay home, and to reduce their day-to-day spending significantly. For people financially planning for later life, these phases would be helpful when considering budgets, products, and goals. But a lack of visibility and education means British workers are instead barrelling towards retirement with incorrect assumptions of what their spending will look like.

Housing: a looming issue

Expectations for housing costs are relatively unchanged across all decades of retirement. We found around a fifth of people expect them to increase, while the same amount expect them to decrease.

Uncertainty, however, does significantly increase into later stages of retirement. While just 9% say they are unsure about what’s going to happen to their housing costs in the first 10 years, this more than doubles to 24% in the fourth decade. This trend stands even for those who own their home.

Renters have it worse. Around a third of renters (32%) expect their housing costs to increase well into their fourth decade of retirement – a troubling stat given 26% of our over 50s sample is currently in rented accommodation. 
 

The impact of their housing situation on members is stark. We found renters are significantly less confident than their home owning counterparts that they’ll be able to retire confidently – 48% are confident vs 65% of homeowners. They are also much less likely to have financially planned for retirement – 36% have no plans, compared to 23% of homeowners. 

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Approaching retirement

The planning and advice gap

Planning for retirement 

Pensions remain the bedrock of retirement planning, with our findings highlighting that people are reliant on their pension to fund their retirement, much more so than property, savings, or investments. Getting pension saving right, therefore, is central to the UK’s later-life financial security.

When thinking about retirement, the workplace pension is the most important financial element – 55% of people think it's critical. 

of workers say their state pension is critical in the funding of their retirement. This rises to 57% of those aged 55-64 and 63% of those aged 65-74. It’s also the case for 52% of women compared to 44% of men.

Despite lots of chatter in the media about ‘the great wealth transfer’, a quarter (25%) don’t consider inheritance in their retirement planning, with 30% saying they don’t expect to receive any inheritance at all.

The known unknowns

But what’s abundantly clear is the failure of people to consider the possible and likely circumstances that will affect the money they need in retirement. Fewer than one in five (17%) of all respondents have considered the possibility of having to go into care and reflecting that in their retirement plan. We also found just 19% have considered and planned for the prospect of getting a serious illness, while a further 43% have thought about it but not included it in their retirement planning.

The age story around this comes as a surprise. Those over 50 are almost half as likely to have considered serious illness within their retirement planning compared to those under 50 (16% vs 25%). And the trend is not dissimilar around planning for care needs – 14% vs 22%.
 

The pension blind-spot

Despite a very clear reliance on a pension for their retirement lifestyle, we find most people haven't checked the value of that pension. Around three in five (59%) of all respondents said they could calculate the value of their workplace pension – 25% know exactly, and 34% know approximately.

While not knowing this detail is perhaps forgivable for those earlier in their career, there is a notable group who are approaching their retirement that looks like they are simply burying their heads in the sand. More than two in five (38%) of 55-64-year-olds, and around a third (32%) of 65-74-year-olds admit to not knowing the current value of their workplace pension.

Of those that said no, around a third (35%) said they wouldn’t even know how to find it – and this figure is pretty consistent across age demographics. The greater uncertainty caused by DC pensions is evident too. People with a DC pension are far less likely to know the value of their pension fund – 59% said yes vs 67% of people with a DB pension. The people most likely to know the value are those with a private/SIPP pension, at 75%. All of this helps explain the notable confidence gap. 
 

59%

Of all respondents said they could calculate the value of their workplace pension – 25% know exactly, and 34% know approximately.

Advice apathy

This insufficient planning is worsened by a lack of advice. There are a whole host of available options to people at all ages. And yet there’s an infuriating apathy when it comes to leaning on such support – across all generations. Particularly worrying is those that need it most steadfastly refuse to take help on offer. For example, a paltry 17% of those aged 50+ have had advice about their retirement from Pension Wise, the Government’s service available for the over 50s – and it’s still only 20% of those aged 65-74. Some comfort could be taken if this 50+ group were getting good advice elsewhere – but that simply doesn’t appear to be the case. Just 19% of those over 50 have had advice from a financial adviser, and only 25% of those aged 65-74. 


Among those over 50, the most popular place for getting advice is from people’s own pension schemes. But this figure is still only 29%. Other places where notable numbers of this group have received guidance are via retirement planning tools online (20%) and their employer (18%).

There is a notable trend among younger generations to lean on social media for help when thinking about later-life saving. Just under a third (30%) of Gen Z have used social media for advice about their retirement planning, and 21% of Millennials. A further significant number (39% and 38% respectively) haven’t but would in the future.  
 

A pension in practice

When asked what they’re looking for from their pension, a plurality of people (40%) would prefer a regular amount of money to come in every year of their retirement from their workplace pension. Almost half as many would prefer a lump sum of cash upfront to use as they wish (22%), while just under a third (30%) say their preference would be for a mix of these – a smaller regular amount of money each year, and a lump sum of cash they can use as they want. Then when it comes to their investment preferences, the majority would prefer their pension pot to grow steadily, with less volatility – 51%. The younger cohorts appear still far too cautious, with only 38% of Gen Z and 30% of Millennials saying they want their pension to grow as much as it can, even if it means greater volatility and/or risk.  

Looking at their future needs when in retirement, there’s a notable split between those at the earlier and later part of their careers. Notably, those sitting in the middle (Gen X) are much more aligned with the expected requirements of their older counterparts. While across the generations, the appetite for having a regular amount of money coming in every year that they can predictably rely on sits at around 40%, it’s the attitude to cash where there’s significant variation. Around one in six (16%) of Baby Boomers and one in five (19%) of Gen X would like to receive a lump sum of cash up front that they can choose how to use and invest, the comparative figures are 27% of Millennials and 35% of Gen Z. These younger cohorts are also much less attracted to a hybrid option. The findings also make abundantly clear the need for greater education simply around the function of pensions – barely anybody understands how their pension is actually invested. 
 

Looking at their future needs when in retirement, there’s a notable split between those at the earlier and later part of their careers. Notably, those sitting in the middle (Gen X) are much more aligned with the expected requirements of their older counterparts. While across the generations, the appetite for having a regular amount of money coming in every year that they can predictably rely on sits at around 40%, it’s the attitude to cash where there’s significant variation. Around one in six (16%) of Baby Boomers and one in five (19%) of Gen X would like to receive a lump sum of cash up front that they can choose how to use and invest, the comparative figures are 27% of Millennials and 35% of Gen Z. These younger cohorts are also much less attracted to a hybrid option. The findings also make abundantly clear the need for greater education simply around the function of pensions – barely anybody understands how their pension is actually invested. 

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Of people with a workplace pension have a full understanding of how their pension is invested, and could tell you about the investment choices and performance of their scheme. Around a quarter (26%) say they know a fair bit – for example, they could tell you about the investment choices but not the performance. And one in five (20%) are the direct opposite – while they could tell you about the performance, they are oblivious to the investment choices. Just under one in 10 (9%) admitted they didn’t know their workplace pension was invested at all – this is regardless of whether they’re over or under 50. Why does education and understanding matter? Because people who are confident about retirement are also more likely to know more about their scheme – 71% have a good understanding (full or fair), compared to 42% who are not confident. 

Why - the scenarios in practice 

We wanted to delve into the bleak picture the retirement landscape in the UK paints. We tracked our 5,000+ respondents across two core metrics – confidence and preparedness – to understand why people are hurtling towards a retirement timebomb, and what can be done about it. 

Prepared

Not confident

Confident

Not prepared

255 People

Ready but worried

1,492 People

Travelling well 

437 People

Naively optimistic

865 People

Anxious and unplanned

To determine the number of people qualifying for each scenario we considered only those who provided a committed response to qualify.  For the Prepared scenario, only those with clear financial goals were considered. 

Demographic considerations 

Attitudes in focus 

Anxious and unplanned

 Naively optimistic

100

75

50

25

0

Policy implications

With the new Government planning its next five years, Barnett Waddingham is calling for three policy recommendations as a direct result of this research and the issues within the ‘at retirement’ landscape: 

There is a very real need to better serve people both approaching and during retirement. That such a number are still ‘anxious and unplanned’ shows the scale of the challenge that still lies ahead.

The introduction of the ‘pension freedoms’ in 2015 saw the retirement security blanket snatched away, as there was little development to help people make the right decisions. With no guardrails, people were instead left free to careen off the track and plummet into the financial abyss. And once they do, there’s no going back.

Without regulatory intervention, we are hurtling towards a pensions timebomb. However, this doesn’t simply mean ‘more regulation’ – the current regulatory framework often isn’t helpful to providers, with too many obstacles hindering the development and rollout of innovative solutions. An overview to improve flexibility, efficiency, and member outcomes is critical.
 

Provider implications

For providers too, there is also certainly plenty of work to do - not just to address the high-risk challenges of the cohort we’ve identified ‘anxious and unplanned’, but to also properly meet the changing needs of all members. To do this, providers are going to have to work closely with the regulator and policy makers to evolve the industry. 

When looking to set out their strategies and priorities for the future, 
here are five things for providers to consider:

What would the ideal digital solution look like?

The pensions dashboard is very focused on people in accumulation – but there is very clearly a need for a digital solution that meets the needs of people in retirement. What could this look like? 

1

2

3

4

5

Encompass all assets (open banking led). 

Be able to visualise scenarios – e.g. the impact of taking cash upfront on future income.

AI-driven (guidance/ nudges/targeted support) – early intervention.

Allow for joint/household planning. 

Be intuitive and easy to use. 

Demographic deep dives 

Thanks to the strength of our research sample, The At Retirement Reckoning is able to shine a light on the experience and behaviours of different communities in the UK. These deep dives provide a more detailed examination of our respondents based on key demographic markers. 

Go to introduction

Brick by Brick: Building retirement security

The renter's At Retirement Reckoning shines a light on the disparity of outcomes between people who rent and people who own their own home. With worse confidence, financial landscapes, and prospects for retirement, this is an urgent challenge for the quarter of 55+ workers in rented homes. 

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Mark Futcher

Partner and Head of DC

Email Mark

Call Mark

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